Tuesday, February 15, 2011

London Metal Exchange: Nickel



Inverted head and shoulder pattern: 28500 (done - 28700)
Bullish flag/pennant: 31700 (rough estimate - $14.37/lb)

Possible upside at current price: 13.90%
Short to medium crazy nickel forecast: $16/lb

Nickel chart is filed under Nickel Asia(NIKL) chart.



CASH BUYER 28,670.00
CASH SELLER & SETTLEMENT 28,680.00


Looking way back into the bigger picture:



Just broke out of the bigger inverted head and shoulder. Judge it for yourself.
It seems to me that the demand for the metal is growing though.

Holding up?

The market closed slightly lower today by 5.95 points on a relatively average turnover that we have without the huge cross sales daily. And it would pretty much safer to assume that the current downtrend is going to last until the actual reversal. Falling method candlestick pattern has also formed on the daily charts suggesting the continuation of further downtrend.

The rally on Hang Seng Index barely had any effect on Asian markets.

The decline today is led by TEL -2.20% breaking heavily from its support, PNB -3.26%, AC -1.12%, ALI -0.68%, and MER -0.45%.

Cushioning the fall are PCOR +7.16%, ICT +3.70%, MEG +2.49%, MBT +2.32%, SM +1.55%, and AGI +1.23%. Without the gains from these issues, the index would have fallen hard today.

Other losing issues with significant turnover value includes LND -4.46%, CYBR - which I thought had a valid breakout buy signal yesterday, fell 3.48%, JAP stocks ORE and SLI, losing 3.10% and 3.08% respectively.

Trades are pretty much scattered everywhere. Macquarie have been buying PCOR by mid session. Looking at the charts, it seems to be poised to move sideways with support at 13.50 and resistance at 16.

I think it was UBS who was trying to push AEV up(barely) with 0.80% gain today. Chart-wise, one more "up day" but will not exceed 38.50 before heading back and fill the gap at 33.65.

There seems to be a bullish pattern forming on the daily chart of NIKL but I could be biased as I have a position in the stock. All positions are now up though. One thing I can say though, spot price for nickel is up by 3%.
*Price of nickel in LME lags by a day.
Will post my "technical analysis" on nickel.


How can I be hungry and sleepy at the same time?